MATCH DETAILS:
- Date: Saturday, October 25, 2025
- Kick-off: 3:00 PM BST (10:00 AM ET)
- Venue: St James’ Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
- Competition: Premier League Matchday 9
- Referee: Peter Bankes
- VAR: John Brooks
- Attendance: ~52,000 (capacity)
CURRENT LEAGUE POSITIONS:
- Newcastle United: 15th place, 9 points (2W-3D-3L)
- Fulham: 16th place, 8 points (2W-2D-4L)
- Gap: Just 1 point separating both teams
RECENT FORM (Last 5 Matches):
- Newcastle: W-L-W-W-W (strong recent improvement)
- Fulham: L-L-L-W-W (three consecutive league defeats)
EXPERT PREDICTIONS:
- Most likely result: Newcastle 2-1 Fulham
- Betting favorite: Newcastle to win (home advantage + form)
- Goals prediction: Over 2.5 goals (60% probability)
WHERE TO WATCH:
- UK: Not televised (3pm Saturday blackout)
- USA: USA Network, Peacock Premium
- Streaming: NBC Sports app (USA), DAZN (Canada)
- Radio: BBC Radio Newcastle, Talksport
KEY STATS:
- Newcastle won 6 of last 8 H2H meetings
- Fulham won both fixtures last season (3-1 home, 2-1 away)
- Newcastle unbeaten at home in last 4 matches
- Fulham conceded 11 goals in last 4 away games
INJURY NEWS:
- Newcastle OUT: Valentino Livramento, Lewis Hall, Yoane Wissa, Harrison Ashby
- Fulham OUT: Sasa Lukic, Rodrigo Muniz, Samuel Chukwueze, Joachim Andersen, Antonee Robinson
- Fulham DOUBTFUL: Tom Cairney
BETTING ODDS (Average):
- Newcastle win: 1.85 (46% implied probability)
- Draw: 3.75 (27%)
- Fulham win: 4.20 (24%)
Why This Match Matter
BOTH TEAMS DESPERATE FOR POINTS:
Newcastle’s situation:
✅ Won 3 of last 4 matches (momentum building)
✅ 3-0 Champions League win vs Benfica boosted confidence
✅ Home advantage at St James’ Park (strong fortress)
✅ Eddie Howe under pressure to climb table
❌ Only 15th place (unexpectedly low for Newcastle’s quality)
❌ Just 3 points above relegation zone (concerning)
❌ Lost Fulham 2-1 at home last season
Fulham’s situation:
✅ Started season well with 8 points from first 5 games
✅ Marco Silva offered new contract (board confidence)
✅ Beat Newcastle 3-1 at home last season
❌ Lost last 3 Premier League matches consecutively
❌ Just 16th place (sliding toward danger zone)
❌ Heavy injury list affecting squad depth
❌ Poor away record (1W-1D-3L on the road)
What’s at stake:
- Winner climbs to 10th-12th (mid-table safety)
- Loser stays 15th-17th (relegation fears intensify)
- Both need confidence boost ending poor runs
- 6-pointer feel given proximity in table
Complete Newcastle vs Fulham Match Guide
Newcastle United approaches this crucial Premier League encounter riding a wave of renewed confidence after securing an emphatic 3-0 Champions League victory over Benfica midweek at St James’ Park, demonstrating the attacking potency that has sporadically surfaced this season despite their disappointing 15th-place league position (9 points from 8 matches, just 3 points clear of the relegation zone) creating anxiety among fans who expected European qualification challenges not survival battles given £250+ million investment recent transfer windows, with Eddie Howe under scrutiny where the manager who guided Newcastle from Championship brink to Champions League qualification within three years now faces questions about tactical approach, squad rotation, and ability adapting to multiple competitions simultaneously though recent upturn (3 wins from last 4 across all competitions) suggests corner turning potentially, with home advantage crucial as St James’ Park’s 52,000-capacity creates intimidating atmosphere opponents struggle handling particularly when Geordie crowd roars behind team though last season’s 2-1 home defeat to same Fulham side demonstrates no guarantees even fortress venues provide when form fragile, creating must-win mentality where anything less than three points sees Newcastle remaining bottom half and confidence eroding further despite improved performances suggesting underlying quality exists requiring consistency unlocking it.
Fulham arrives at St James’ Park in contrasting form where promising opening (8 points from first 5 matches including victories over Brentford and Cambridge, plus credible performances against top-six opponents) has disintegrated into three consecutive Premier League defeats to Arsenal (0-1 home), Bournemouth (1-3 away), and Aston Villa (1-3 away) revealing defensive fragilities (conceding 7 goals across three matches with xGA of 6.2 indicating structural issues not merely bad luck) and attacking struggles (scoring just 2 goals same period despite xG of 4.1 suggesting finishing inefficiency compounding problems), with Marco Silva’s position secure despite poor run given board reportedly offering Portuguese manager new contract beyond current June 2026 expiry date recognizing his achievement stabilizing club as mid-table Premier League regulars after yo-yo years between Championship and top flight, though injury crisis compounds challenges where five confirmed absences including key defenders Joachim Andersen and Antonee Robinson plus striker Rodrigo Muniz and midfielder Sasa Lukic forces Silva fielding weakened XI against Newcastle’s revitalized attack potentially exposing makeshift backline further, creating damage limitation versus point-winning balance where conservative approach protects vulnerable defense yet risks surrendering initiative allowing Newcastle dominance potentially leading to heavy defeat versus attacking ambition creating goal-scoring opportunities but leaving space Newcastle’s pace exploits through Anthony Gordon and Jacob Murphy transitions.
Head-to-head history favors Newcastle where Magpies won 16 of 37 all-time meetings versus Fulham’s 16 wins and 5 draws creating exactly even historical record, though recent encounters favor Fulham winning both 2024/25 season fixtures (3-1 at Craven Cottage where Raul Jimenez brace and Alex Iwobi strike overwhelmed Newcastle’s defense, and 2-1 at St James’ Park where late Fulham winner stunned home crowd) demonstrating Cottagers’ ability producing upsets against theoretically superior opponents through tactical discipline and clinical finishing, with longer-term pattern showing Newcastle dominance 2015-2023 period winning 6 of 8 meetings including three consecutive 1-0 victories at St James’ Park 2020-2022 when Bruno Guimaraes or Callum Wilson late goals secured narrow but crucial wins building home fortress reputation current side struggles replicating, creating psychological battle where Fulham arrive confident having beaten Newcastle twice within 12 months yet Newcastle remembers pre-2024 dominance and believes home advantage restores natural order despite evidence suggesting Fulham presents legitimate threat current fragile Magpies cannot dismiss, requiring respecting opponent while asserting home superiority balance Howe must strike motivating players without creating complacency recent Fulham successes could breed.
Tactical battle centers on midfield control where Newcastle’s Bruno Guimaraes, Lewis Miley, and Jacob Ramsey triumvirate provides technical quality, defensive cover, and attacking transitions when functioning optimally though consistency has eluded them this season with only sporadic dominant performances (Benfica 3-0, Nottingham Forest 2-0) interspersed with pedestrian showings (Brighton 1-2 defeat where midfield overrun), facing Fulham’s Tom Cairney (if fit), Sven Berge, and Josh King who prioritize structure and counter-attacking opportunities over controlling possession creating contrasting philosophies where Newcastle dominate ball (averaging 58% possession league matches) yet struggle converting territorial advantage into clear chances (1.4 xG per game, 16th in league) while Fulham accepts defensive shape (42% possession) seeking transition moments exploiting spaces opponents leave attacking (though only 0.9 xG per game reflects offensive struggles beyond isolated moments), with set-pieces critical where Newcastle’s aerial threat from Sven Botman and Malick Thiaw defending corners combined with Kieran Trippier’s delivery creates goal-scoring opportunities dead-ball situations consistently provide (27% of Newcastle’s goals this season from set-plays) versus Fulham’s weakened defense lacking Andersen’s organizational presence potentially exposed further, and wing battles where Newcastle’s Anthony Gordon (left) and Jacob Murphy (right) attacking full-backs Timothy Castagne and Ryan Sessegnon whose defensive positioning questions remain creates match-ups favoring home side if exploited effectively through quick combinations and overlapping runs though Fulham’s compact shape when defending limits space available requiring patience and movement Newcastle hasn’t always demonstrated when frustrated.
Key individual matchups include Bruno Guimaraes vs Sven Berge where Brazilian’s technical superiority and vision contrasts Norwegian’s physicality and work-rate creating style clash determining midfield control, Anthony Gordon vs Timothy Castagne where England international’s pace and trickery tests Belgian right-back’s defensive discipline with Gordon’s 4 league goals making him Newcastle’s joint-top scorer alongside Alexander Isak (injured) requiring Fulham doubling up preventing Gordon isolation opportunities, Nick Woltemade vs Calvin Bassey where Newcastle’s young German striker making breakthrough recently (2 goals last 3 matches) faces Nigerian defender whose Premier League experience and recovery pace provides stern test for developing forward, Raul Jimenez vs Newcastle center-backs where Mexican veteran’s movement and finishing ability (3 league goals this season) challenges Botman and Thiaw’s positioning with any defensive lapses punished clinically given Jimenez’s predatory instincts inside penalty area, and Kieran Trippier vs Alex Iwobi where England right-back’s attacking output (assists, crosses, set-pieces) must balance defensive responsibilities covering Iwobi’s diagonal runs infield from left wing where Nigerian’s creativity and goal threat (2 goals, 1 assist this season) requires constant attention preventing combination play with Jimenez causing problems, creating individual duels determining tactical battle outcomes where Newcastle’s theoretical quality advantage must manifest individual superiority preventing Fulham’s system and work-rate overwhelming superior but underperforming talent.
Newcastle’s probable lineup (4-3-3): Nick Pope in goal behind back-four Kieran Trippier (right), Malick Thiaw and Sven Botman (center), Dan Burn (left) providing experienced defensive foundation, midfield trio Jacob Ramsey (left), Lewis Miley (holding), Bruno Guimaraes (right) offering ball progression and defensive screening, attacking trident Jacob Murphy (right), Nick Woltemade (striker), Anthony Gordon (left) providing pace, movement, and goal threat, with bench options including goalkeeper Martin Dubravka, defenders Paul Dummett and Matt Targett, midfielders Joe Willock and Sean Longstaff, forwards Miguel Almiron and Callum Wilson (if fit) enabling Howe tactical flexibility adjusting systems mid-game if required, though injury absentees Valentino Livramento, Lewis Hall, Yoane Wissa, and Harrison Ashby limit squad depth forcing Howe careful management avoiding additional injuries through overload given congested fixture schedule demanding rotation impossible when options limited.
Fulham’s probable lineup (4-2-3-1): Bernd Leno guarding goal behind defensive quartet Timothy Castagne (right), Calvin Bassey and Jorge Cuenca (center), Ryan Sessegnon (left) representing makeshift arrangement given Andersen and Robinson absences forcing unfamiliar partnerships, double pivot Tom Cairney (if fit, otherwise Sander Berge) and Josh King providing midfield stability, attacking midfield three Harry Wilson (right), Sven Berge (central), Alex Iwobi (left) supporting lone striker Raul Jimenez whose hold-up play and finishing represents Fulham’s primary goal threat, with bench strength depleted through injuries limiting Silva’s options including goalkeeper Marek Rodak, defenders Issa Diop and Kenny Tete, midfielder Harrison Reed, forward Willian providing experience though lack of quality depth reduces tactical flexibility forcing Silva trusting starters completing matches even when tiring or ineffective, creating vulnerability where Newcastle’s fresher legs and superior bench potentially decisive final 20-30 minutes when Fulham’s weakened squad struggles maintaining intensity allowing home side pressing advantage creating late winner previous encounter produced though this time Newcastle hopes reversing outcome.
Match Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Prediction: Newcastle 2-1 Fulham
Why Newcastle wins:
✅ Home advantage St James’ Park
✅ Better recent form (3W from last 4)
✅ Confidence from 3-0 Benfica victory
✅ Fulham’s defensive injuries and 3-match losing streak
✅ Historical home dominance (6 wins from 8 H2H)
✅ Superior squad depth despite own injury issues
Fulham’s chance:
✅ Won both last season’s meetings
✅ Marco Silva tactical expertise
✅ Raul Jimenez clinical finishing
✅ Newcastle’s defensive vulnerabilities (7 goals conceded in 8 league games)
✅ Counter-attacking threat through Iwobi/Wilson pace
Score prediction reasoning:
- Newcastle dominates possession (60-40%) creating 2.1 xG
- Fulham defends deep absorbing pressure until counter-attacking breakaway
- Gordon opens scoring 34th minute cutting inside curling right-foot finish
- Jimenez equalizes 58th minute poaching rebound from Pope save
- Woltemade winner 76th minute heading Trippier corner securing 2-1 victory
- Fulham pushed forward late seeking equalizer leaving space Newcastle nearly exploits third
Betting Tips & Odds
BEST VALUE BETS:
1. Newcastle to win @ 1.85
- Confidence: 70%
- Stake suggestion: 4/5 units
- Reasoning: Home form, momentum, Fulham injuries create clear advantage
2. Over 2.5 goals @ 2.10
- Confidence: 60%
- Stake: 3/5 units
- Reasoning: Both defenses vulnerable, attacking players in form
3. Anthony Gordon to score anytime @ 3.25
- Confidence: 45%
- Stake: 2/5 units
- Reasoning: Joint-top scorer, takes penalties, Fulham’s weakened left-back
4. Bruno Guimaraes over 1.5 tackles + interceptions @ 1.75
- Confidence: 75%
- Stake: 3/5 units
- Reasoning: Defensive midfielder averages 3.2 combined per match
5. Both teams to score – YES @ 1.95
- Confidence: 55%
- Stake: 2/5 units
- Reasoning: Newcastle defense shaky, Jimenez clinical finisher
RISKY HIGH-REWARD BETS:
Newcastle 3-1 correct score @ 12.00
- Small stake fun bet if Newcastle dominates as predicted
Raul Jimenez first goalscorer @ 8.50
- Jimenez’s record vs Newcastle (4 goals in 6 meetings) suggests value
How to Watch Newcastle vs Fulham Live
UK Viewers:
TV: Not televised (3pm Saturday blackout rule)
Radio: BBC Radio Newcastle (local), Talksport (national)
Highlights: Match of the Day, BBC One, 10:30pm Saturday
USA Viewers:
TV: USA Network
Streaming: Peacock Premium ($7.99/month)
App: NBC Sports app (requires TV provider login)
Canada:
Streaming: DAZN Canada
Cost: $24.99/month
Australia:
Streaming: Optus Sport
Cost: $24.99/month
Other Countries:
Check local Premier League broadcasters or use official Premier League Pass where available.
People Also Ask + FAQ: Newcastle vs Fulham
1. What time is Newcastle vs Fulham kick-off?
3:00 PM BST (British Summer Time) Saturday October 25, 2025 at St James’ Park Newcastle, equating to 10:00 AM ET (Eastern Time), 7:00 AM PT (Pacific Time) USA, 1:00 AM AEDT Sunday October 26 Australia, 10:00 PM IST India creating global viewing opportunities though UK television blackout 3pm Saturday matches prevents live domestic broadcast requiring fans attending stadium, listening radio commentary, or watching international streams where available, with gates opening 1:30pm enabling early arrival securing seats, visiting fan shops, and absorbing pre-match atmosphere iconic St James’ Park provides, while team sheets announced approximately 1 hour before kick-off (2:00pm) via clubs’ official social media allowing fans confirming lineups and any late injury/selection surprises before match begins.
2. Where can I watch Newcastle vs Fulham in the UK?
Not televised live in UK due to 3pm Saturday blackout rule protecting match attendance by preventing broadcasts conflicting with grassroots and lower-league fixtures kicking off same time, requiring fans either attending St James’ Park (tickets if available through Newcastle’s official website, though likely sold out given 52,000 capacity and desperate fans seeking witnessing turnaround), listening BBC Radio Newcastle providing live commentary with Geordie perspective and expert analysis, or waiting Match of the Day highlights BBC One 10:30pm Saturday presenting extended match footage goals analysis though obviously lacking live tension and spontaneity, with international streaming options including using VPN services accessing USA Network/Peacock or DAZN Canada broadcasts though technically violates terms of service and broadcasting rights creating legal gray areas some fans navigate regardless, plus pub screenings sometimes show foreign broadcasts though establishments risk prosecution so increasingly rare finding venues broadcasting 3pm Saturday matches openly.
3. Who is favorite to win Newcastle vs Fulham?
Newcastle clear betting favorite at average odds 1.85 (10/11) representing 54% implied probability victory versus Fulham 4.20 (16/5) at 24% and draw 3.75 (11/4) at 27%, reflecting *home advantage, *superior recent form (Newcastle won 3 of last 4 vs Fulham lost 3 consecutively), squad quality depth despite injuries, and historical dominance St James’ Park where Newcastle traditionally strong though last season’s results (Fulham won both fixtures) create caution preventing Newcastle becoming overwhelming favorite despite advantages, with Asian Handicap markets offering Newcastle -1 at 2.85 suggesting bookmakers expect tight match rather than comfortable home victory, and goal markets pricing Over 2.5 goals at 2.10 (52% implied probability) indicating expectations of open entertaining encounter rather than defensive stalemate, plus correct score markets favoring 2-1 Newcastle (8.00), 1-1 draw (7.50), and 2-0 Newcastle (9.00) as most likely outcomes reflecting belief Newcastle edges narrow victory rather than routing weakened visitors.
4. What is Newcastle United’s current league position and form?
15th place Premier League table with 9 points from 8 matches (2 wins, 3 draws, 3 defeats, 7 goals scored, 7 conceded, 0 goal difference) representing disappointing start for club harboring European ambitions given Champions League qualification last season and substantial transfer investment, though recent improvement evident winning 3 of last 4 across competitions including emphatic 3-0 Champions League victory Benfica plus Premier League wins against Nottingham Forest (2-0) and Union Saint-Gilloise (4-0 Europa League) suggests corner turning after poor September where defeats Arsenal (1-2 home), Brighton (1-2 away), and frustrating draws left Newcastle 3 points above relegation zone triggering fan anxiety and Eddie Howe criticism, with underlying metrics suggesting performances better than results indicate where xG of 11.2 versus actual 7 goals implies finishing inefficiency rather than creative bankruptcy, and xGA of 8.8 versus actual 7 conceded shows defensive competence marred by occasional errors, creating confidence recent victories and Benfica performance demonstrating talent exists requiring consistency unlocking potential carrying Newcastle up table toward expected mid-table comfort minimum.
5. What injuries does Fulham have for this match?
Five confirmed absences severely weakening Fulham’s squad: Defenders Joachim Andersen (knee injury, Denmark international whose organizational presence and passing from back crucial Fulham’s buildup) and Antonee Robinson (hamstring, USA left-back whose pace and attacking output key offensive transitions) forcing makeshift defensive arrangements Calvin Bassey partnering Jorge Cuenca centrally with Ryan Sessegnon deputizing left-back, striker Rodrigo Muniz (muscular problem, backup to Raul Jimenez limiting attacking options bench), midfielder Sasa Lukic (ankle injury, Serbian international providing technical quality and work-rate central areas), and winger Samuel Chukwueze (fitness concerns, Nigerian’s pace and dribbling ability offering alternative attacking threat), plus Tom Cairney doubtful (fitness test match day, captain and midfield anchor whose absence further depletes already weakened squad), creating crisis Marco Silva must navigate through tactical adjustments and demanding extra from available players compensating missing quality and depth, with no expected returns imminent meaning Fulham faces multiple matches weakened before international break potentially providing recovery time though current fixture demands playing through adversity Newcastle should exploit capitalizing on vulnerable makeshift defense lacking partnerships and understanding established units possess.
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